Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Worcester Red Sox v Lehigh Valley IronPigs

2026-08-06 16:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

56%

44%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Worcester Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 55.99%1.79fair odd

EV -5.38%

Edge -3.18%

Kelly -7.79%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.70%55.94%55.99%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.631.671.681.6961.35%59.73%59.52%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Visit)

Prediction 44.01%2.27fair odd

EV -5.38%

Edge -2.50%

Kelly -4.68%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.72%44.06%44.01%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.082.132.142.1548.08%46.98%46.73%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Worcester Red Sox (Local): 55.99%; Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Visit): 44.01%. For Worcester Red Sox (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.69, with an expected value of -5.38%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.38%E -3.18%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-06 12:09
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.38%E -3.18%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-06 12:14
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.38%E -3.18%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.26%E -2.94%K -5.54%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 12:20
FanDuel🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.94%E -3.53%K -8.73%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.82%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-06 12:09
Bovada🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.50%E -3.89%K -9.70%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-06 12:35
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.50%E -3.89%K -9.70%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-06 12:30
1xBet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -8.74%E -5.36%K -13.87%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -8.46%E -4.07%K -7.83%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-06 12:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.