The School of Odds

Worcester Red Sox v Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

2026-07-23 16:05 UTC — MiLB

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Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Worcester Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 44.00%2.27fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.49%43.96%44.01%44.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.092.132.152.1748%47%47%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit)

Prediction 56.00%1.79fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -3.17%
Kelly -7.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.44%56.04%55.99%56.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.681.671.6960%60%60%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 11:40
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 11:40
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 11:41
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 12:52
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.84%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 11:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 12:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 13:15
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -8.04%E -3.85%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 11:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.