Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Worcester Red Sox v Columbus Clippers

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Worcester Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 54.57%1.83fair odd

EV -2.86%

Edge -1.61%

Kelly -3.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.55%55.01%54.57%58.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.621.721.731.7861.73%58.08%57.64%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 45.43%2.20fair odd

EV +1.75%

Edge +0.783%

Kelly +1.42%

Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.97%44.99%45.43%47.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.952.052.012.2451.28%48.70%49.75%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Worcester Red Sox (Local): 54.57%; Columbus Clippers (Visit): 45.43%. For Columbus Clippers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -11.59%E -7.15%K -18.69%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV +1.75%E +0.783%K +1.42%G +0.025%	6.4%	2026-04-08 15:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.77%E -4.60%K -11.26%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.33%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-08 15:39
FanDuel🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.24%E -4.08%K -8.08%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-08 14:40
William Hill🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.59%E -3.23%K -7.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.15%E -4.57%K -9.15%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-08 15:35
1xBet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -3.40%E -1.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -10.96%E -5.59%K -11.42%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-08 15:05
Betway🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -5.04%E -2.90%K -6.81%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -11.42%E -5.86%K -12.02%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-04-08 14:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.