Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Worcester Red Sox v Buffalo Bisons

Kickoff: 2026-06-02 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Worcester Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 55.93%1.79fair odd
EV +0.673%
Edge +0.374%
Kelly +0.841%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.61%55.67%55.67%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.701.8061.73%58.63%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 44.07%2.27fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.592%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%44.33%44.33%48.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.092.102.3052.08%47.87%47.62%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Worcester Red Sox (Local): 55.93%; Buffalo Bisons (Visit): 44.07%. For Buffalo Bisons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.36%E +0.592%K +1.05%G +0.014%5.2%2026-06-02 21:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -7.72%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 21:29
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 21:30
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-02 21:29
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-02 21:39
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.00%E -0.568%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 21:28
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-02 21:29
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV +0.673%E +0.374%K +0.841%G +0.006%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -15.38%E -8.01%K -16.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-02 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.