Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Mud Hens v Omaha Storm Chasers

2026-08-07 23:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Mud Hens (Local)

Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -5.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%48.94%48.94%49.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.911.911.9353.19%52.45%52.36%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit)

Prediction 51.06%1.96fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -6.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.54%51.06%51.06%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.841.8555.56%54.64%54.35%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toledo Mud Hens (Local): 48.94%; Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit): 51.06%. For Toledo Mud Hens (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.93, with an expected value of -5.54%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.54%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 17:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:45
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -6.05%E -3.29%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.