The School of Odds

Toledo Mud Hens v Louisville Bats

2026-07-25 23:05 UTC — MiLB

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Toledo Mud Hens (Local)

Prediction 59.21%1.69fair odd
EV +5.98%
Edge +3.34%
Kelly +7.57%
Growth +0.453%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.88%58.40%58.97%62.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.531.641.611.7965%61%62%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Louisville Bats (Visit)

Prediction 40.79%2.45fair odd
EV +4.02%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +2.60%
Growth +0.104%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%41.60%41.03%48.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.932.222.252.5552%45%44%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV +5.98%E +3.34%K +7.57%G +0.453%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -21.27%E -11.02%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 17:05
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +4.80%E +2.71%K +6.23%G +0.299%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -18.41%E -9.21%K -18.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 19:34
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -2.31%E -1.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -13.11%E -6.16%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 19:40
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.09%E -2.52%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.22%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 19:45
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 19:35
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.22%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -7.64%E -4.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 19:20
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -9.41%E -6.15%K -17.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +4.02%E +1.58%K +2.60%G +0.104%4.6%2026-07-25 19:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (7 combinations) +5.17%BetRivers 1.79 (58.8%) / Caesars 2.55 (41.2%)Show all 7 combinations
Toledo Mud Hens (Local)Louisville Bats (Visit)Margin
BetRivers 1.79 (58.8%)Caesars 2.55 (41.2%)+5.17%
Bovada 1.77 (59.0%)Caesars 2.55 (41.0%)+4.48%
BetRivers 1.79 (57.2%)BetOnline.ag 2.39 (42.8%)+2.35%
Bovada 1.77 (57.5%)BetOnline.ag 2.39 (42.5%)+1.69%
BetRivers 1.79 (56.2%)FanDuel 2.30 (43.8%)+0.660%
1xBet 1.65 (60.7%)Caesars 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
Bovada 1.77 (56.5%)FanDuel 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%