Toledo Mud Hens v Louisville Bats

2026-07-22 23:05 UTC — MiLB

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Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

49%

51%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Toledo Mud Hens (Local)

Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd

EV -5.56%

Edge -2.88%

Kelly -5.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.39%48.82%48.93%49.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.891.911.911.9353%52%52%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Louisville Bats (Visit)

Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd

EV -5.52%

Edge -2.98%

Kelly -6.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.81%51.18%51.07%51.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.801.831.831.8556%55%55%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-22 15:19
BetRivers	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.07%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 16:24
theScore Bet	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 15:19
Caesars	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 15:33
BetOnline.ag	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 15:34
Bovada	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 16:42
William Hill	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.07%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-22 15:39
1xBet	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 15:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.