Toledo Mud Hens v Iowa Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Toledo Mud Hens (Local)

Prediction 54.09%1.85fair odd

EV -5.34%

Edge -3.05%

Kelly -7.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.87%54.22%54.09%54.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.701.731.741.7559%58%57%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Iowa Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 45.91%2.18fair odd

EV -5.42%

Edge -2.63%

Kelly -5.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.21%45.78%45.91%46.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.022.052.052.0650%49%49%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.42%E -2.63%K -5.12%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 13:15
theScore Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 13:14
Bovada	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 13:54
Caesars	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 13:54
BetOnline.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 15:15
1xBet	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.26%E -3.59%K -7.12%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-05 19:45
BetRivers	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.05%E -4.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.42%E -2.63%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-05 18:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.