Toledo Mud Hens v Iowa Cubs

2026-07-05 20:05 — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Option 1: Toledo Mud Hens (Local)

Odds

1.7058.82%Min

1.7357.66%Mean

1.7457.47%Median

1.7557.14%Max

Consensus probabilities

53.87%1.856Min

54.79%1.825Max

54.22%1.844Mean

54.09%1.849Median

54.09%1.849IQM

54.21%1.845Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.75 under the IQM model: 54.09%

EV -5.34%Edge -3.05%Kelly -7.12%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Iowa Cubs (Visit)

Odds

2.0249.50%Min

2.0548.81%Mean

2.0548.78%Median

2.0648.54%Max

Consensus probabilities

45.21%2.212Min

46.13%2.168Max

45.78%2.185Mean

45.91%2.178Median

45.91%2.178IQM

45.79%2.184Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.06 under the IQM model: 45.91%

EV -5.42%Edge -2.63%Kelly -5.12%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Toledo Mud Hens (Local) ▼	Iowa Cubs (Visit)	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.75I 57.14% NM 54.07%EV -5.34% E -3.05% K -7.12% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 45.93%EV -5.42% E -2.63% K -5.12% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 13:15
theScore Bet	1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.88% E -3.38% K -7.95% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.88% E -2.87% K -5.60% G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 13:14
Bovada	1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.88% E -3.38% K -7.95% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.88% E -2.87% K -5.60% G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 13:54
Caesars	1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.88% E -3.38% K -7.95% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.88% E -2.87% K -5.60% G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 13:54
BetOnline.ag	1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.88% E -3.38% K -7.95% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.88% E -2.87% K -5.60% G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 15:15
1xBet	1.73I 57.80% NM 53.87%EV -6.42% E -3.71% K -8.80% G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.13%EV -7.26% E -3.59% K -7.12% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-05 19:45
BetRivers	1.70I 58.82% NM 54.79%EV -8.05% E -4.73% K -11.50% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 45.21%EV -5.42% E -2.63% K -5.12% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-05 18:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth