Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Mud Hens v Columbus Clippers

Kickoff: 2026-05-28 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Mud Hens (Local)

Prediction 51.77%1.93fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.586%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.66%51.79%51.80%55.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.821.801.9158.48%54.88%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 48.23%2.07fair odd
EV +0.802%
Edge +0.384%
Kelly +0.735%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.00%48.21%48.20%51.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.921.912.0955.25%52.14%52.36%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toledo Mud Hens (Local): 51.77%; Columbus Clippers (Visit): 48.23%. For Columbus Clippers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.802%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -11.47%E -6.71%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV +0.802%E +0.384%K +0.735%G +0.006%6.3%2026-05-28 21:29
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 21:29
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 21:28
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.78%E -3.18%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.43%E -3.32%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 21:29
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 21:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 20:50
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -4.23%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 22:09
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:14
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -12.70%E -7.02%K -15.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.