Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers v Sacramento River Cats

Kickoff: 2026-07-28 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers (Local)

Prediction 42.88%2.33fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.39%42.83%42.70%44.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.192.202.2847.17%45.72%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 57.12%1.75fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.94%57.17%57.30%58.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.651.651.6962.11%60.72%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -2.22%E -0.975%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -8.04%E -5.00%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 18:59
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -3.94%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.90%E -4.23%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 18:39
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.62%E -2.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 18:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 18:44
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.04%E -5.00%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 18:39
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.48%E -2.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 18:57
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.80%E -3.63%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.62%E -2.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 15:09
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -8.66%E -4.06%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 16:34
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -9.08%E -4.29%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.62%E -2.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.