The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tacoma Rainiers v Sacramento River Cats

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 02:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers (Local)

Prediction 40.24%2.49fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.51%40.36%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.322.332.4044.84%43.17%43.01%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 59.76%1.67fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -5.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.03%59.49%59.64%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.581.581.6264.10%63.19%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tacoma Rainiers (Local): 40.24%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 59.76%. For Sacramento River Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -3.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.42%E -1.43%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.98%E -3.13%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:00
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.03%E -2.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.18%E -3.93%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 16:39
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.44%E -2.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.98%E -3.13%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 16:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.44%E -2.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.18%E -3.93%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 20:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.45%E -3.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.18%E -3.93%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:14
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.45%E -3.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.77%E -4.34%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -9.86%E -4.40%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.19%E -1.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 19:04
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -10.27%E -4.60%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -4.98%E -3.13%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.