The School of Odds
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Tacoma Rainiers v Sacramento River Cats

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers (Local)

Prediction 51.78%1.93fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -3.17%
Kelly -7.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%51.78%51.85%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.781.801.8259.17%56.09%55.56%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 48.22%2.07fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.603%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%48.22%48.15%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.961.952.1052.36%50.98%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tacoma Rainiers (Local): 51.78%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 48.22%. For Sacramento River Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -12.49%E -7.39%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV +1.27%E +0.603%K +1.15%G +0.015%6.8%2026-04-14 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.76%E -3.17%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.49%E -2.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.80%E -3.78%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.80%E -3.78%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 22:00
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.35%E -4.72%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 22:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.80%E -3.78%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 22:14
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.80%E -3.78%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 22:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.