The School of Odds
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Tacoma Rainiers v Sacramento River Cats

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers (Local)

Prediction 49.15%2.03fair odd
EV +4.20%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +3.75%
Growth +0.157%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.92%49.12%48.93%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.931.912.1253.48%51.69%52.36%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 50.85%1.97fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -5.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.88%51.07%56.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.811.821.8760.24%55.28%54.95%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tacoma Rainiers (Local): 49.15%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 50.85%. For Tacoma Rainiers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV +4.20%E +1.98%K +3.75%G +0.157%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -15.59%E -9.39%K -23.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 00:35
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.67%E -1.87%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.45%E -4.09%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.47%E -4.70%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.12%E -3.21%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 00:05
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.12%E -3.21%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 00:27
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.12%E -3.21%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.47%E -4.70%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 00:45
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.12%E -3.21%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.47%E -4.70%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.33%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 00:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.33%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 00:13
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.