Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers v Sacramento River Cats

2026-08-02 20:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers (Local)

Prediction 51.50%1.94fair odd
EV +8.16%
Edge +3.88%
Kelly +7.41%
Growth +0.605%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%50.52%51.47%52.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.891.832.1056.18%52.83%54.64%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 48.50%2.06fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.21%49.48%48.53%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.851.911.9959.88%53.91%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tacoma Rainiers (Local): 51.50%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 48.50%. For Tacoma Rainiers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.10, producing a positive expected value of +8.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +8.16%E +3.88%K +7.41%G +0.605%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -19.01%E -11.38%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:40
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.01%E +1.50%K +3.01%G +0.090%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.16%E -8.00%K -18.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:15
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +3.01%E +1.50%K +3.01%G +0.090%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -16.10%E -9.31%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 13:24
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV +0.945%E +0.482%K +0.985%G +0.009%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -14.16%E -8.00%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:19
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 20:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 20:19
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 20:19
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.30%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 20:15
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.30%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 20:15
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.67%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -3.49%E -1.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 20:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (6 combinations) +2.18%BetRivers 2.10 (48.7%) / BetOnline.ag 1.99 (51.3%)Show all 6 combinations
Tacoma Rainiers (Local)Sacramento River Cats (Visit)Margin
BetRivers 2.10 (48.7%)BetOnline.ag 1.99 (51.3%)+2.18%
BetRivers 2.10 (48.1%)theScore Bet 1.95 (51.9%)+1.11%
BetRivers 2.10 (48.0%)FanDuel 1.94 (52.0%)+0.842%
BetRivers 2.10 (47.6%)Hard Rock Bet 1.91 (52.4%)+0.025%
BetRivers 2.10 (47.6%)Caesars 1.91 (52.4%)+0.025%
BetRivers 2.10 (47.6%)Betway 1.91 (52.4%)+0.025%