The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tacoma Rainiers v Sacramento River Cats

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers (Local)

Prediction 43.70%2.29fair odd
EV +4.87%
Edge +2.03%
Kelly +3.48%
Growth +0.170%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%43.85%43.12%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.152.152.4052.36%46.55%46.51%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 56.30%1.78fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +3.66%
Growth +0.111%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%56.15%56.88%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.671.651.8364.10%60.02%60.61%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tacoma Rainiers (Local): 43.70%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 56.30%. For Tacoma Rainiers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +4.87%E +2.03%K +3.48%G +0.170%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -12.17%E -7.80%K -21.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 00:34
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -2.99%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 23:44
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.35%E -5.81%K -15.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 00:14
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.66%E -4.67%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 23:29
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.79%E -5.43%K -14.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 23:44
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 23:52
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.97%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 00:33
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.03%E -1.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 23:34
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -16.54%E -8.66%K -18.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +3.03%E +1.66%K +3.66%G +0.111%7.0%2026-04-15 23:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.