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Tacoma Rainiers v Reno Aces

2026-08-16 20:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers (Local)

Prediction 54.57%1.83fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -5.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.91%54.56%54.54%55.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.731.741.7659.52%57.92%57.47%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reno Aces (Visit)

Prediction 45.43%2.20fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.80%45.44%45.46%46.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.062.062.1050.00%48.49%48.54%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tacoma Rainiers (Local): 54.57%; Reno Aces (Visit): 45.43%. For Tacoma Rainiers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.76, with an expected value of -3.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.05%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.50%E -2.57%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -6.41%E -3.11%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:35
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:24
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.05%E -2.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:19
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.32%E -4.95%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.96%E -2.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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