The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tacoma Rainiers v Las Vegas Aviators

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 02:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers (Local)

Prediction 44.88%2.23fair odd
EV +0.976%
Edge +0.434%
Kelly +0.781%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%44.42%45.23%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.112.062.2548.78%47.48%48.43%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Aviators (Visit)

Prediction 55.12%1.81fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -5.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.58%54.77%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.691.691.7463.69%59.21%59.00%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tacoma Rainiers (Local): 44.88%; Las Vegas Aviators (Visit): 55.12%. For Tacoma Rainiers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.976%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +0.976%E +0.434%K +0.781%G +0.008%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -13.46%E -8.57%K -23.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 17:29
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.27%E -0.576%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 20:18
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:26
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -4.41%E -2.07%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -9.05%E -5.48%K -13.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 17:19
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 23:19
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 23:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 00:29
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 00:19
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.84%E -4.05%K -9.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.