The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tacoma Rainiers v El Paso Chihuahuas

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers (Local)

Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.38%52.21%55.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.811.8959.17%55.32%55.25%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit)

Prediction 47.87%2.09fair odd
EV +1.97%
Edge +0.924%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.24%47.62%47.79%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.931.892.1355.25%51.87%52.91%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tacoma Rainiers (Local): 52.13%; El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit): 47.87%. For El Paso Chihuahuas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -11.90%E -7.04%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV +1.97%E +0.924%K +1.74%G +0.034%6.1%2026-04-02 00:35
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.30%E -5.34%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.86%E -0.908%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:44
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 00:34
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 00:40
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -1.48%E -0.783%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -9.52%E -5.04%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.48%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 19:10
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.48%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 16:34
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 22:09
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.00%EV -13.35%E -7.38%K -16.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-01 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.