Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers v Albuquerque Isotopes

Kickoff: 2026-06-11 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tacoma Rainiers (Local)

Prediction 46.72%2.14fair odd
EV +0.447%
Edge +0.208%
Kelly +0.389%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.39%47.27%48.00%52.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.991.962.1556.18%50.22%51.02%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit)

Prediction 53.28%1.88fair odd
EV +6.03%
Edge +3.03%
Kelly +6.09%
Growth +0.367%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.21%52.73%52.00%56.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.781.801.9960.98%56.29%55.56%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tacoma Rainiers (Local): 46.72%; Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit): 53.28%. For Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -16.84%E -9.46%K -21.59%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV +6.03%E +3.03%K +6.09%G +0.367%6.4%2026-06-11 00:29
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -8.43%E -4.30%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 00:29
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 00:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 00:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.77%E -5.64%K -11.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 23:59
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-10 23:39
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -8.89%E -5.20%K -12.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 23:39
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.447%E +0.208%K +0.389%G +0.002%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.96%E -5.89%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 19:58
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -0.020%E -0.009%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -12.62%E -7.70%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 15:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.