The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Syracuse Mets v Worcester Red Sox

2026-08-18 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Mets (Local)

Prediction 41.93%2.38fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%41.88%41.91%42.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.242.242.3045.45%44.69%44.64%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Worcester Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 58.07%1.72fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.29%58.12%58.09%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.621.621.6762.50%61.59%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Syracuse Mets (Local): 41.93%; Worcester Red Sox (Visit): 58.07%. For Worcester Red Sox (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.67, with an expected value of -3.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 15:26
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 15:10
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -6.07%E -2.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 15:54
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.07%E -2.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.07%E -2.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 15:30
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 17:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 15:44
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.