Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Mets v Worcester Red Sox

2026-08-21 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

47%

53%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Mets (Local)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd

EV -5.16%

Edge -2.56%

Kelly -5.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.90%46.97%46.95%47.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.972.002.002.0250.76%50.04%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Worcester Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd

EV -3.98%

Edge -2.20%

Kelly -4.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.74%53.03%53.05%53.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.771.771.8157.47%56.39%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Syracuse Mets (Local): 46.95%; Worcester Red Sox (Visit): 53.05%. For Worcester Red Sox (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.81, with an expected value of -3.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-21 12:10
FanDuel🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-21 11:54
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-21 12:00
Caesars🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-21 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-21 12:24
BetRivers🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-21 13:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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