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Syracuse Mets v Worcester Red Sox

2026-08-19 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Mets (Local)

Prediction 42.90%2.33fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.12%42.87%42.91%43.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.202.202.2646.51%45.45%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Worcester Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 57.10%1.75fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -6.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.51%57.13%57.09%57.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.651.651.6761.73%60.76%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Syracuse Mets (Local): 42.90%; Worcester Red Sox (Visit): 57.10%. For Syracuse Mets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.26, with an expected value of -3.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.04%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.22%E -3.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 19:00
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -3.90%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.93%E -4.25%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 16:50
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.65%E -2.78%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:58
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.90%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.65%E -2.78%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 16:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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