The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Syracuse Mets v Rochester Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Mets (Local)

Prediction 55.54%1.80fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.61%55.50%57.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.26%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 44.46%2.25fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.63%44.39%44.50%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.112.102.1848.78%47.37%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Mets (Local): 55.54%; Rochester Red Wings (Visit): 44.46%. For Rochester Red Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -3.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.37%E -1.94%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 21:09
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.04%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.62%E -3.15%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 21:14
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.73%E -2.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 21:14
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 21:09
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.62%E -3.15%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:23
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -6.70%E -3.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.07%E -3.38%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 17:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.62%E -3.15%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:09
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -10.03%E -6.19%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -3.07%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.