Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Mets v Lehigh Valley IronPigs

2026-09-19 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Mets (Local)

Prediction 56.96%1.76fair odd

EV -3.17%

Edge -1.87%

Kelly -4.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.19%56.90%56.99%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.621.661.661.7061.73%60.40%60.24%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Visit)

Prediction 43.04%2.32fair odd

EV -5.31%

Edge -2.41%

Kelly -4.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.41%43.10%43.01%43.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.152.192.202.2046.51%45.75%45.45%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Syracuse Mets (Local): 56.96%; Lehigh Valley IronPigs (Visit): 43.04%. For Syracuse Mets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.70, with an expected value of -3.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.17%E -1.87%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.17%E -2.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-19 18:33
Caesars🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.88%E -2.92%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-19 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.88%E -2.92%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.60%E -3.04%K -5.64%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-19 17:09
FanDuel🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.45%E -3.28%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-19 17:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.02%E -3.65%K -9.26%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-19 17:05
Bovada🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.73%E -4.77%K -12.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-19 17:16
Betway🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.73%E -4.77%K -12.47%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-19 19:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.