The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Syracuse Mets v Buffalo Bisons

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Mets (Local)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.58%53.05%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.771.771.8357.80%56.44%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%47.42%46.95%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.0252.36%50.34%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Mets (Local): 53.05%; Buffalo Bisons (Visit): 46.95%. For Syracuse Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -2.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 20:04
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 20:08
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.57%E -3.30%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 15:34
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.