The School of Odds

Syracuse Mets v Buffalo Bisons

2026-07-17 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Syracuse Mets (Local)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.58%53.05%53.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.771.771.8358%56%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%47.42%46.95%48.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.0252%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 20:04
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 20:09
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 20:04
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 20:08
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -6.57%E -3.30%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 15:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.