The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Syracuse Mets v Buffalo Bisons

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 15:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Mets (Local)

Prediction 47.72%2.10fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.02%47.15%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.931.912.0053.48%51.78%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 52.28%1.91fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.98%52.85%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.801.8757.47%55.42%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Mets (Local): 47.72%; Buffalo Bisons (Visit): 52.28%. For Buffalo Bisons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -2.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.95%E -3.90%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 14:29
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 14:29
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.20%K -12.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 14:29
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.85%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 14:58
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.85%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 14:39
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -10.28%E -5.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -3.81%E -2.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.