The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Syracuse Mets v Buffalo Bisons

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Mets (Local)

Prediction 52.11%1.92fair odd
EV +3.70%
Edge +1.86%
Kelly +3.73%
Growth +0.138%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.21%51.67%52.26%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.791.761.9958.48%55.94%56.82%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 47.89%2.09fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.889%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%48.33%47.74%52.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.961.972.0556.18%51.05%50.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Mets (Local): 52.11%; Buffalo Bisons (Visit): 47.89%. For Syracuse Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV +3.70%E +1.86%K +3.73%G +0.138%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -14.75%E -8.29%K -18.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 22:29
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.64%E -2.54%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.53%E -4.46%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 22:28
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.73%E -3.76%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.18%E -2.61%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 22:30
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -8.29%E -4.71%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -5.65%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 22:10
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.33%E -5.36%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.82%E -0.889%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 19:00
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.33%E -5.36%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 22:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.85%E -5.69%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -10.89%E -6.37%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -2.30%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.