The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Syracuse Mets v Buffalo Bisons

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Mets (Local)

Prediction 50.70%1.97fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%51.11%50.87%54.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.831.831.9158.82%54.78%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 49.30%2.03fair odd
EV +2.05%
Edge +0.990%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.09%48.89%49.13%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.912.0754.64%52.45%52.36%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Mets (Local): 50.70%; Buffalo Bisons (Visit): 49.30%. For Buffalo Bisons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -13.81%E -8.12%K -19.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV +2.05%E +0.990%K +1.92%G +0.039%7.1%2026-07-19 14:15
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.74%E -4.86%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.70%E -3.06%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 16:05
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 16:05
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -7.73%E -4.24%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 16:45
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.75%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.78%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 15:45
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.78%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.