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Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sugar Land Space Cowboys v Salt Lake Bees

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 62.25%1.61fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -8.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%62.15%62.27%63.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.511.521.5367.57%66.01%65.79%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salt Lake Bees (Visit)

Prediction 37.75%2.65fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.95%37.85%37.73%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.482.502.5642.02%40.29%40.00%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local): 62.25%; Salt Lake Bees (Visit): 37.75%. For Salt Lake Bees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.56, with an expected value of -3.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.76%E -3.11%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.74%E -1.47%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 15:28
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.76%E -3.11%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.63%E -2.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.76%E -3.11%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -7.14%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 22:25
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.76%E -3.11%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.51%E -3.07%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.76%E -3.11%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.16%E -4.27%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.00%E -3.97%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.63%E -2.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 17:35
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -6.00%E -3.97%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -8.65%E -3.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 12:59
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -6.62%E -4.42%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -3.36%E -1.31%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 12:54
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.62%E -4.42%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.63%E -2.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:24
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.63%E -2.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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