The School of Odds
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Sugar Land Space Cowboys v Sacramento River Cats

Kickoff: 2026-06-10 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 42.57%2.35fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%42.74%42.50%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.2547.62%45.50%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 57.43%1.74fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -6.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.26%57.50%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.641.631.6762.11%61.12%61.54%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local): 42.57%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 57.43%. For Sacramento River Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -4.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.22%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.39%E -3.92%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.92%E -2.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.24%E -3.17%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 23:29
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 17:07
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.24%E -3.17%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 18:08
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-09 14:29
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.54%E -4.68%K -12.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 21:09
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.20%E -3.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 19:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.