The School of Odds
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Sugar Land Space Cowboys v Sacramento River Cats

Kickoff: 2026-06-11 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 41.99%2.38fair odd
EV +0.766%
Edge +0.319%
Kelly +0.547%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%43.27%42.86%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.212.202.4054.05%45.32%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 58.01%1.72fair odd
EV +9.65%
Edge +5.10%
Kelly +10.84%
Growth +1.05%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%56.73%57.14%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.651.621.8964.52%60.73%61.73%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local): 41.99%; Sacramento River Cats (Visit): 58.01%. For Sacramento River Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -22.33%E -12.07%K -26.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV +9.65%E +5.10%K +10.84%G +1.05%7.0%2026-06-10 23:39
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.12%E -1.87%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 23:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.28%E -2.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.28%E -2.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 23:29
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.02%E -3.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 23:59
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.53%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 16:29
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.766%E +0.319%K +0.547%G +0.004%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.76%E -4.88%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 15:20
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -6.37%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -7.76%E -4.88%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 15:00
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -2.17%E -0.932%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -10.08%E -6.50%K -18.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-10 15:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.