The School of Odds

Sugar Land Space Cowboys v Nashville Sounds

2026-07-23 00:05 UTC — MiLB

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 48.13%2.08fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.652%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.85%48.93%49.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.931.912.0553%52%52%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Nashville Sounds (Visit)

Prediction 51.87%1.93fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -4.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.54%52.15%51.07%54.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.831.8557%55%55%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.34%E -0.652%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.74%E -5.60%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 16:58
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.74%E -5.60%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 17:00
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.11%E -3.69%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 15:19
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 15:19
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 18:09
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 15:39
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 16:42
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.63%E -3.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 15:39
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -9.52%E -5.06%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -4.56%E -2.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.