The School of Odds

Sugar Land Space Cowboys v Nashville Sounds

2026-07-22 00:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 46.98%2.13fair odd
EV -6.03%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%46.94%46.95%47.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.951.992.002.0051%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Nashville Sounds (Visit)

Prediction 53.02%1.89fair odd
EV -5.63%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -7.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.82%53.06%53.05%53.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.761.771.7858%57%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 14:10
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 14:15
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 14:45
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 14:48
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 15:02
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.75%E -4.46%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 16:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.28%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:25
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.44%E -3.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.69%E -3.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 16:19
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.75%E -4.46%K -10.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.