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Sugar Land Space Cowboys v Las Vegas Aviators

2026-09-16 00:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%50.99%51.07%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.841.831.8854.64%54.38%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Aviators (Visit)

Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -5.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.01%48.93%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.911.911.9453.19%52.29%52.36%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local): 51.07%; Las Vegas Aviators (Visit): 48.93%. For Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.88, with an expected value of -4.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 18:06
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 15:19
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 16:25
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 16:26
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.