The School of Odds

Sugar Land Space Cowboys v Albuquerque Isotopes

2026-07-11 00:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 44.88%2.23fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.68%44.87%44.88%45.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.032.082.092.1049%48%48%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit)

Prediction 55.12%1.81fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -5.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.13%55.12%55.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.711.711.7460%58%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:30
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 18:09
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:29
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:44
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.20%E -2.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 15:55
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.40%E -4.41%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 15:44
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 16:14
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -8.89%E -4.38%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.