Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sugar Land Space Cowboys v Albuquerque Isotopes

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 44.96%2.22fair odd
EV -5.58%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -5.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%44.99%44.94%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.072.082.1049.26%48.22%48.08%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit)

Prediction 55.04%1.82fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -5.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.01%55.06%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.711.711.7459.17%58.51%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.58%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:30
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.58%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 18:09
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.58%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:29
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.58%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:44
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.02%E -2.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 15:55
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.92%E -3.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.44%E -3.79%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 22:30
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.24%E -2.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 16:14
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.44%E -3.79%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 21:04
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.99%E -4.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-10 21:10
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -8.72%E -4.30%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.