Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sugar Land Space Cowboys v Albuquerque Isotopes

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 48.05%2.08fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%48.16%48.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.962.0053.48%51.15%51.15%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit)

Prediction 51.95%1.92fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.84%52.00%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8757.14%55.63%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.90%E -1.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 18:15
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.90%E -1.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.09%E -5.19%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 18:55
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.82%E -2.97%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.45%E -2.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 23:40
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -5.82%E -2.97%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 17:20
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.30%E -3.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.49%E -3.60%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 23:30
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.30%E -3.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.49%E -3.60%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 23:30
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.30%E -3.23%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.49%E -3.60%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.43%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.85%E -1.53%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.