The School of Odds

Sugar Land Space Cowboys v Albuquerque Isotopes

2026-07-12 00:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 44.59%2.24fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.39%44.43%44.88%45.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.032.092.092.1549%48%48%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit)

Prediction 55.41%1.80fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -7.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.28%55.57%55.12%56.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.641.691.711.7161%59%59%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 13:49
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -9.13%E -5.57%K -14.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 13:49
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:39
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.80%E -3.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:54
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.81%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 11:44
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 11:39
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -9.48%E -4.67%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 11:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.