The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Sugar Land Space Cowboys v Albuquerque Isotopes

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 47.39%2.11fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.658%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.39%48.36%48.07%57.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.981.992.1460.61%50.53%50.13%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit)

Prediction 52.61%1.90fair odd
EV +16.27%
Edge +7.36%
Kelly +13.45%
Growth +2.19%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%51.64%51.93%56.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.791.772.2160.98%55.77%56.50%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Local): 47.39%; Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit): 52.61%. For Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -21.81%E -13.22%K -33.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV +16.27%E +7.36%K +13.45%G +2.19%5.9%2026-07-11 23:54
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.12%E -3.63%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.24%E -2.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 23:59
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 23:59
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.49%E -4.97%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 23:59
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 20:19
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.488%E -0.232%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.03%E -5.87%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 22:24
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -3.80%E -1.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -10.03%E -5.87%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 11:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.56%E -6.21%K -15.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 11:44
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV +1.41%E +0.658%K +1.24%G +0.017%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -13.71%E -8.36%K -21.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.