The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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St. Paul Saints v Toledo Mud Hens

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 19:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Paul Saints (Local)

Prediction 52.99%1.89fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.630%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%52.83%52.12%56.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.781.801.9160.24%56.18%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Mud Hens (Visit)

Prediction 47.01%2.13fair odd
EV -0.331%
Edge -0.156%
Kelly -0.296%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.92%47.17%47.88%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.991.962.1254.64%50.25%50.89%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Paul Saints (Local): 52.99%; Toledo Mud Hens (Visit): 47.01%. For St. Paul Saints (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +1.20%E +0.630%K +1.32%G +0.016%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.97%E -7.63%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.91%E -3.49%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.32%E -4.27%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:35
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.32%E -4.27%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:40
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.32%E -4.27%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:34
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.15%E -2.88%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.09%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:45
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -1.27%E -0.605%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 19:04
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -12.04%E -7.25%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -0.331%E -0.156%K -0.296%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.