The School of Odds
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St. Paul Saints v Omaha Storm Chasers

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 18:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Paul Saints (Local)

Prediction 59.23%1.69fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.25%59.29%58.94%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.581.6564.94%62.99%63.09%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit)

Prediction 40.77%2.45fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.774%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%40.71%41.06%42.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.212.302.302.5045.25%43.38%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Paul Saints (Local): 59.23%; Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit): 40.77%. For Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.93%E +0.774%K +1.29%G +0.025%4.1%2026-06-17 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -8.79%E -5.71%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -5.00%E -2.14%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-17 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.22%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.24%E -3.27%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.22%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 14:10
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.83%E -3.67%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.22%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 14:00
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.42%E -4.06%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 14:00
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.01%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -9.89%E -4.48%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.