Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Paul Saints v Omaha Storm Chasers

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 22:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Paul Saints (Local)

Prediction 60.15%1.66fair odd

EV -5.57%

Edge -3.55%

Kelly -9.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.59%60.15%60.25%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.561.561.561.5764.10%64.00%64.10%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit)

Prediction 39.85%2.51fair odd

EV -4.36%

Edge -1.81%

Kelly -3.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.39%39.85%39.75%40.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.342.342.4043.48%42.64%42.74%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Paul Saints (Local): 60.15%; Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit): 39.85%. For Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -4.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.17%K -3.73%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-18 21:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.17%E -3.95%K -11.02%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.36%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-18 22:00
1xBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.17%E -3.95%K -11.02%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-18 21:50
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.17%E -3.95%K -11.02%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-18 21:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.