The School of Odds
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St. Paul Saints v Omaha Storm Chasers

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 00:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Paul Saints (Local)

Prediction 56.93%1.76fair odd
EV -4.93%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -7.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%57.40%56.92%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.651.651.6762.89%60.74%60.42%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit)

Prediction 43.07%2.32fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.41%
Growth +0.081%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%42.60%43.08%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.192.172.4046.95%45.56%46.19%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Paul Saints (Local): 56.93%; Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit): 43.07%. For Omaha Storm Chasers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -9.48%E -5.96%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +3.37%E +1.40%K +2.41%G +0.081%4.6%2026-06-16 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:20
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.53%E -3.01%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.64%E -4.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -6.97%E -3.22%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-16 20:29
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 14:00
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.78%E -4.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 21:10
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -8.26%E -3.88%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.