Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Paul Saints v Louisville Bats

2026-08-08 00:07 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Paul Saints (Local)

Prediction 59.44%1.68fair odd
EV -0.143%
Edge -0.085%
Kelly -0.210%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.32%58.74%59.69%60.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.601.6863.69%62.21%62.70%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Bats (Visit)

Prediction 40.56%2.47fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.95%41.26%40.31%44.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.262.302.3648.08%44.17%43.48%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St. Paul Saints (Local): 59.44%; Louisville Bats (Visit): 40.56%. For St. Paul Saints (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.682. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.680, with an expected value of -0.143%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -0.143%E -0.085%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -15.63%E -7.52%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 16:00
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -1.93%E -1.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -13.60%E -6.39%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 18:49
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 18:37
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 18:45
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.49%E -3.45%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.09%E -3.85%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.28%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.