St. Paul Saints v Louisville Bats

2026-07-18 21:37 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

51%

49%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

St. Paul Saints (Local)

Prediction 51.27%1.95fair odd

EV -5.15%

Edge -2.78%

Kelly -6.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.27%51.27%51.27%51.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.801.831.831.8556%55%55%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Louisville Bats (Visit)

Prediction 48.73%2.05fair odd

EV -5.95%

Edge -3.08%

Kelly -6.40%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.52%48.73%48.73%49.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.871.911.911.9353%52%52%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.95%E -3.08%K -6.40%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-18 15:25
1xBet	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.88%E -4.75%K -10.20%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-18 21:05
Bovada	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.18%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-18 15:44
William Hill	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.71%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-18 16:14
Betway	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.71%E -4.29%K -9.64%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-18 18:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.