The School of Odds

St. Paul Saints v Louisville Bats

2026-07-18 00:07 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

St. Paul Saints (Local)

Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.81%51.07%51.07%51.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.831.8556%55%55%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Louisville Bats (Visit)

Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd
EV -5.56%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -5.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%48.93%48.93%49.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.891.911.911.9353%52%52%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 15:34
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 15:34
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 20:08
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 17:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.07%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.