Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Paul Saints v Louisville Bats

2026-08-08 23:37 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Paul Saints (Local)

Prediction 57.13%1.75fair odd

EV -4.59%

Edge -2.75%

Kelly -6.85%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.70%57.20%57.14%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.611.651.651.6762.11%60.70%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Bats (Visit)

Prediction 42.87%2.33fair odd

EV -5.26%

Edge -2.38%

Kelly -4.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.26%42.80%42.86%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.182.202.2147.62%45.87%45.45%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St. Paul Saints (Local): 57.13%; Louisville Bats (Visit): 42.87%. For St. Paul Saints (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.67, with an expected value of -4.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.59%E -2.75%K -6.85%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-08 13:12
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.59%E -2.75%K -6.85%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.97%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-08 12:55
FanDuel🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.16%E -3.11%K -7.82%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.73%E -3.48%K -8.82%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.26%E -2.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-08 15:19
theScore Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.73%E -3.48%K -8.82%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-08 12:19
1xBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -5.73%E -3.48%K -8.82%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -8.69%E -4.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-08 14:04
Bovada🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.45%E -4.60%K -12.01%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-08 14:18
BetRivers🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.02%E -4.98%K -13.15%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-08 16:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.