The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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St. Paul Saints v Indianapolis Indians

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 19:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Paul Saints (Local)

Prediction 53.29%1.88fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.75%53.10%57.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.741.8061.73%57.80%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Indians (Visit)

Prediction 46.71%2.14fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.843%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.63%46.25%46.90%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.042.1851.28%49.07%49.02%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Paul Saints (Local): 53.29%; Indianapolis Indians (Visit): 46.71%. For Indianapolis Indians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -13.68%E -8.44%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV +1.84%E +0.843%K +1.56%G +0.029%7.6%2026-06-07 16:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.01%E -6.59%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -1.90%E -0.905%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-07 12:19
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.28%E -4.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.24%E -2.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 18:47
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.28%E -4.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.24%E -2.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 18:37
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -8.88%E -5.19%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-07 18:39
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.15%E -2.89%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.64%E -2.79%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.57%E -3.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.09%E -2.27%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-07 18:39
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.28%E -4.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-07 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.