St. Paul Saints v Buffalo Bisons

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 19:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

St. Paul Saints (Local)

Prediction 57.95%1.73fair odd

EV -4.96%

Edge -3.03%

Kelly -7.76%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.73%57.87%57.96%58.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.611.621.621.6462%62%62%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 42.05%2.38fair odd

EV -3.28%

Edge -1.43%

Kelly -2.52%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.33%42.13%42.04%43.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.152.222.222.3047%45%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetRivers	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.76%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.59%E -4.46%K -8.34%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-05 19:00
FanDuel	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.80%E -2.59%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 13:15
Caesars	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.52%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-05 13:54
theScore Bet	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 13:14
BetOnline.ag	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.80%E -2.59%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-05 15:15
Bovada	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-05 13:54
1xBet	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.99%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-05 13:35
Betway	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.99%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-05 16:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.