The School of Odds

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders v Worcester Red Sox

2026-07-17 23:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local)

Prediction 53.37%1.87fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -7.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.55%53.47%53.37%54.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.761.771.7758%57%57%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Worcester Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 46.63%2.14fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%46.53%46.63%47.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.962.012.002.0551%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.73%E -3.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 19:24
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.73%E -3.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 20:08
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -8.60%E -4.39%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 20:14
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 19:29
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 17:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.73%E -3.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.