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Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders v Worcester Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-05-28 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local)

Prediction 55.45%1.80fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +0.809%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%54.99%55.41%56.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.711.8359.88%57.80%58.48%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Worcester Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 44.55%2.24fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.49%45.01%44.59%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.102.1752.36%48.83%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local): 55.45%; Worcester Red Sox (Visit): 44.55%. For Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.48%E +0.809%K +1.78%G +0.026%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.92%E -7.81%K -16.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:14
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -0.184%E -0.102%K -0.230%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -14.47%E -7.54%K -15.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 16:49
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -0.738%E -0.412%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -13.58%E -7.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 20:59
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 20:50
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 20:57
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.28%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 20:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 20:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.