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Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders v Syracuse Mets

Kickoff: 2026-07-23 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local)

Prediction 49.25%2.03fair odd
EV +0.967%
Edge +0.472%
Kelly +0.921%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%49.44%48.00%52.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.931.952.0555.87%51.71%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Mets (Visit)

Prediction 50.75%1.97fair odd
EV -0.535%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.557%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.73%50.56%52.00%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.811.801.9658.48%55.13%55.56%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local): 49.25%; Syracuse Mets (Visit): 50.75%. For Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.967%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.967%E +0.472%K +0.921%G +0.009%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.70%E -6.72%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 21:33
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV +0.475%E +0.233%K +0.457%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -13.22%E -7.73%K -18.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 21:58
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -8.15%E -4.50%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.65%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 21:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -11.70%E -6.72%K -15.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 21:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.65%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 22:09
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.35%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.04%E -0.534%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 21:58
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -11.84%E -6.61%K -14.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -0.535%E -0.273%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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